Roberto da Silva Rocha, university professor and political scientist
Ukraine winning the war
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It's like believing that a country invaded, bombed, with 10 million refugees, fugitives and escapees with its army in the catacombs hidden like rats and armadillos, facing the mice, so whoever follows the narratives hears that Ukraine is winning the war.
I also believe that, I won a fight against Mike Tyson, I abandoned the pretension of fighting him and I came out unscathed, he didn't beat me or beat me.
The idea was that of the 513 billion of gas that Siberia sends a year fills Russia's coffers with 340 billion dollars, but Biden calculated that if he closes those drains Russia will go bankrupt, or deliver the gas production at a price determined by NATO. .
It might be.
It could be that Europe loses this source of energy, together with the boycott of Russian coal and oil, the EU's industry and GDP will lose around 30 trillion dollars or Euros, apart from deaths from hunger and cold, Russia would face a recession and inflation but it would not be a catastrophe in the assessment of the Russian central bank, apart from the risk of Putin getting stressed and sending about ten Sarmat with 100 warheads to the house of the NATO boss, the USA.
Played game, it's worth bluffing.
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