quarta-feira, 27 de março de 2024

India Pakistan: USA case

India Pakistan: USA case

The "India Pakistan" case deserves a political science analysis as a symbol of the North American strategy of greater effect and long-term effectiveness in the foreign policy of the State Department's international relations in Washington.

It is quite possible that it was not thought out or planned, because its effectiveness depends on highly random factors and many of them fortuitous, and that many factors and variables are beyond the control of any internationally willing agent, but the chances and Machiavellian fortune are screaming. to be used at the right time for whoever was in the right place at the right time.

Much has been said about the marketing strategy in a package of revolutions called or nicknamed colored revolutions, which according to Karl Marx, a winning revolution is like breaking down a half-open rotten door.

Such is the difficulty in starting a political revolution, and whose result does not always converge to the expectations at the beginning of the revolution, almost always the new political regime is not established by legitimacy, which leads to political and institutional instability with difficulty in internal and external recognition. external.

Wherever the adaptation and customization process went, it always followed the same script that looked for gaps in the process of internal division between the majority political currents to explore the divergences between those in power who always divided between them the agreed political control discreetly disguised as populist democracy, where the alternation of power is just a facade of the intra-elite class agreement.

When it is possible to introduce a wedge in the presupposed agreement between the dominant groups, an interested third party appears to introduce the revolution, creating an imbalance of political forces, then a period of disorder and chaos emerges without the checks and balances that the political system has structured. to keep all social demands under control, and the process of accommodating new political dynamics becomes chaotic for an indefinite period of time.

The DoS and the DoD have managed to maintain powerful dissident currents in permanent confrontation through the detente also known as the cold war, so the contenders often do not realize that the possibility of the end of the conflict is just a step away, so using this strategy that fell In his lap, the State Department realizes that regional border rivalries end up spreading the opportunity to expand the number of military bases and military agreements in 97 countries around the world without being in a hot war.

The antithetical pairs formed give up their space for occupation by the US military, namely:

1 - India - Pakistan;
2 - North Korea - South Korea;
3 - Taiwan - China;
4 - Ukraine - Russia;
5 - Armenia - Azerbaijan;
6 - Chile - Argentina;
7 - Argentina - Brazil;
8 - Colombia - Venezuela
9 - Saudi Arabia - Iran;
10 - Yêmem - Saudi Arabia;
11 - France - Great Britain;
12 - France - Germany;
13 - Russia - Japan;
14 - Russia - Finland;
15 - Russia - Georgia;
16 - India - China;
17 - Iraq - Iran;
18 - Iraq - Kuwait;
19 - Syria - Türkiye;
20 - Emirates - Arabia;
21 - Philippines - China;
22 - China - Japan;
23 - Moldova - Transnistria.
24 - EU - United Kingdom;
25 - Ireland - United Kingdom.

Roberto da Silva Rocha, professor universitário e cientista político

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