terça-feira, 20 de dezembro de 2022

Why won't Western sanctions isolate and destroy Russia?

Why won't Western sanctions isolate and destroy Russia?
First, you need a general geography lesson.
Europe is not the center of the world; the USA is not the center of the world.
What trumps does the USA have in international relations, and its western allies?
When God created the universe, he did things typical of the gods, they are capricious things with no meaning for the understanding of human instrumental rationality.
In this way, trying to look for coherent laws and facts in the universe has been the greatest feat of the best human brains, even before the creation of science and philosophy, religion appeared in its animist and/or fetishist versions, before modern monotheistic and polytheistic, theistic religions and iconoclastic religions. This religious evolution removed from the unique field of miracles and magic all phenomena previously considered magical and autonomous of nature and the origin of the universe.
Bringing together in a humanoid deity the responsibility and power to initiate and control natural phenomena allowed bringing to the field of causality the totality of facts considered magical, so that the final version of the existence of life forms and elements of the universe was built. as things created similar to the cycles of plant and animal life that are born, grow and die, thus was born the analogy of creation of the universe as a being that appears, changes and then ends, like a plant. It amazes how outside of philosophy scientists seek in every way a cycle of creation of the universe and the prediction of its end, both events do not predict where existing things come from, and where things go after the end of the universe, simply they will disappear in the same way that they emerged from nothing, or from a poorly explained singularity prior to the magical big bang that created everything that exists: matter, energy, information, and laws of the universe, time, space and mathematical correlations perfectly systematized among themselves. The sciences are slowly turning into yet another version of a sort of religion that cannot be contested and challenged as the final word and final court of truth of undisputed knowledge of the universe. Science has become divine.
The asymmetry of the universe has not yet fallen within the scope of the scientific ethos, whose principles are based on laws that are like strict constraints that the atomic particles and sub-particles must strictly follow, within mathematically established predictability, and what is actually seen is that Einstein's maximum equation E=m*C**2 can never be verified in practice, nor in the collisions of particles in the best hadron colliders, much less close to nuclear bombs, in the nuclear reactions in the cores of stars precisely because many other Necessary conditions are not sufficient for the verifiability of this law, which like all the laws of physics, chemistry, biology only serve as a poor approximation of the phenomena of nature, making the universe totally unpredictable and far from being deterministic, but even so we cannot do without our Mathematics that cannot define exactly the relationship between the diameter and the circumference called pi, nor can we exactly calculate the square root of the number two, we cannot divide any integers by another integer always with an exact and precise result, but the intellectual self-sufficiency and the authority of science prevent us from seeing the limitations of the scientific method based on fixed laws through formulas instead of laws we should have a system of flexible conditions and parameterized in mobile indicators where the present variables could be harmonized as a sequence of alternatives to be examined step by step like a computer program where at each branch in the tree of decisions, the appropriate formulas are selected for that situation, without the rigidity of fixed formulas that are selected indistinctly, disregarding the diverse and always multiple circumstances and combined with each other that make the search for solutions very complex since Mathematics can only work with three variables independent, and the differential equations more can only be integrated up to the third level, and these conditions refer to the case of arbitrary selection and abstraction of variables or conveniently modeling the algebraic problem.
Combining the limitations of the paradigmatic stage of the state of the art of science and its epistemological and ontological limits as a function of our cognitive capacity, we are adding to this moment the asymmetry of the universe where of all the objects that are in the solar system, each planet, each planetary satellite nothing indicates that there will be or ever was life as abundantly sophisticated and almost infinitely varied as it is on earth, from DNA segments, to viruses, microbes, insects, marine animals, terrestrial animals, flying animals, amphibians, tundras, corals, fish , moss s, lichens, an infinity of variety that challenged the humble and limited researcher named Mendel and his countryman Charles Darwin, who tried in vain with their limited instruments to unravel the mechanisms of life on earth, where many renowned intellectuals insist on supporting theses somewhat oddities of the origin and evolution of species, without head or tail, which contradict the laws of statistics and the mechanics of DNA biology, a single simple cell would have been the origin of life according to Darwin, but a single cell by itself is more complex than the whole universe!
There is no such thing as a simple cell, a cell has extremely complex mechanisms, starting with the proteins of DNA, RNA, cellulosic membrane, meiosis and mitosis mechanisms, cycles of transport of materials through the semi-permeable cellulosic and nuclear membrane, it is so much intelligence and changes of information in a simple cell that Darwin was unaware of in its simplicity and arrogance of the ignorant, as Tulcídides says: Ignorance is audacious!
In the same way that the universe is asymmetric and completely heterogeneous, terrestrial geography itself awarded us with this model of asymmetry where 90% of the dry lands are in the northern hemisphere, and consequently, 90% of the oceans are in the southern hemisphere, and the distribution of all the oil on earth is mainly concentrated in Venezuela, Russia and Arab countries, 90% of the world's niobium was deposited in Brazil, 90% of all rare earths are in China, more than 60% of iron ore is in Brazil, the largest deposits of fresh drinking water are in Brazil, so the world cannot live without copper from Chile and Congo, so human activity has built an asymmetrical economic and industrial organization, where the English language has become the language of business, international, just as the dollar currency constitutes the current for international exchanges, that would be enough for the USA to obtain sufficient control of the world, but, ignorance made them arrogant and they put everything to lose because they would need nothing more to control international relations, they intended to advance and impose their vision of civilization on the 8 billion inhabitants of the earth, so the greatest effort began to transform all countries in the economic region of Europe into a colony, and without declaring it, they instituted extremely strict conditions that European countries could not withstand for a long period, such as, for example, the extortion caused by loan sharking initiated with the Marshall Plan, which was not a complete success only because of the emergence of the communist bloc formed by the USSR and China, which ended up entailing an extraordinary spending of US wealth that forced Europeans to be forced to turn their backs on their biggest neighbor, Russia, as their proxy enemy of the USA through NATO.
As can be seen, the conditions do not exist for the solitary protagonism of any nation or group of nations called the West, which is made up of just over 0.8 billion people, and ignore the 7.5 billion people who are not in the West, who live in: India, Latin America, Africa, China, Middle East, Asia and Oceania, this myopia cost a project of American hegemony that for a long time proclaimed itself the only one that can determine the pax of its way, with its culture and model of democracy and the imposition of Christian notions of human rights, and his vision of ecological balance and gender diversity, minority rights, all within the vision of the 300 million people who live in the USA to model the behavior of the other 7.5 billion people outside the West, these same 300 million people consume 70% of all energy produced in the world, consume 90% of cocaine and all drugs and medicines in the world, they do not want to give up this asymmetric consumption of limited resources of all mankind.
So the alternatives for the survival of nations are: cooperation and international trade according to the currents of the economic theory called general equilibrium; or we continue the disputes for the colonization of producing countries and holders of raw materials within the process of appropriating their wealth through completely unequal exchanges that were the models of mercantilism and colonialism with all the historical consequences and scars that shaped world conflicts and regions that have traumatized the lives of all the inhabitants of the earth, directly and indirectly, thus, globalization would be exactly the only way out and exactly the true authentic globalization in nothing similar to the attempt made that only existed in the transnational companies that only diluted the production without dilute intellectual and human capital together with industrial plants, dividing the world into a financial and industrial patent center and an industrialized periphery only at the turnkey closed gate level without participation in the creation of proprietary technology.
This nation-based model s leaders and protagonists led to the arrogance of the USA in imagining that sanctions for access to the technological center of patent protectionism and scientific knowledge were guided by political ideology, when the ideology of science leads to the idea that all technology is the most perishable product and transition of humanity, all technology will be quickly obsolete within half a century, and in a century it will be totally abolished, as happened with the technologies of laser disk, landline telephone, magnetic tapes, they disappeared as quickly as they appeared, the world of the future will be built in: photon physics, new materials, genetic engineering, artificial intelligence, and many things that we can't even imagine and that will soon be discovered in a decade, so technological knowledge is not a good investment, because it is volatile, the true wealth is the capacity from creating and developing human resources to recreating knowledge. Small ideas have completely revolutionized our way of life such as: containers, cell phones, the internet, social networks via the internet, the micro chip, cryptocurrency, pay pal, electronic mail, digital marketing, are things that have changed the architecture of cities and extinguished many professions in thirty years, such as the end of post offices, telegraphs, giant shopping malls, large stores, face-to-face schools, and work located in groups of large offices replaced by home office and telework.
Politicians still believe in wars with destruction with bombs, but we already have conditions for the destruction of nations without weapons, for that it is enough to calibrate the circulation of these vital goods such as oil, coal, food, gas, niobium, titanium, copper, antimony, gold , uranium and countries go completely bankrupt.
For better or for worse, politicians still don't realize that power has changed form and has been relocated, even the great billionaires still reason with the premises of the 19th century. Just as well for humanity, as we are not prepared to imagine a world with a total flow of goods, materials, ideas and people.


Roberto da Silva Rocha, professor universitário e cientista político

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